Emil Kastehelmi - The Russians recently launched a large offensive in eastern and southern Donetsk, on a 70 kilometers wide front.The attack has breached Ukrainian defences in just a few days in many areas, and there can be some dangerous developments ahead, which I’ll discuss in this thread. 1/

For reference, in dark red we see the assessed Russian-controlled area in the beginning of August 2024, before the Ukrainian Kursk offensive. The light red depicts areas captured after the Kursk operation in the eastern front. 17/